MTG Calculators
Draw Probability
Probability of finding X copies of a specific card among the cards you see. A hypergeometric calculator.
| Copies Found | Exactly | Or More |
|---|
Opening Hand Lands
How likely are you to hit your land drops in your opening hand?
| Lands in Hand | Exactly | Or More |
|---|
Next Land Drop
Odds of finding a land in the next X draws and scry/surveil triggers. (E.g. chance of finding a third land with 23 in the deck of which 2 in the opening hand.)
| Turn | Find a Land | Expected Lands |
|---|
Flooding & Fetch Lands
Chance of drawing consecutive lands (flooding), and how fetch lands change the odds by thinning the deck. Each fetch removes one land from the library.
| Consecutive Lands | Without Fetches | With Fetches | Change |
|---|
Lands in Next 5 Draws
| Lands Drawn | Without Fetches | With Fetches | Change |
|---|
Colored Mana Sources
Deckbuilding check for multi-colored decks. Answer questions like "chance of having UU by turn 3".
| Turn | Cards Seen | P(Enough Sources) |
|---|
Combo Assembly
Chance of assembling an X-card combo, given cards seen.
| Cards Seen | P(All Pieces) |
|---|
Mulligan Distribution
Probability of ending up with X lands in your kept hand after mulligans. London mulligan: you draw 7, then put m cards on the bottom (your choice). This assumes you put back to land as close to your target count as possible.
| Mull To | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|
Tron Assembly
P(assembling all 3 Urza lands) by each turn. Tron needs 3 land drops (turn 3 minimum). Maps in hand can fetch a missing piece ({1} to cast, {2} to activate — ready by turn 3).
| Turn | Cards Seen | P(Tron Complete) |
|---|
Storm Setup
Probability helpers for playing Ruby Storm.
Find a Discounter
Chance of finding a cost reducer (Medallion, Ral...) in the next X cards seen.
| Cards Seen | P(≥1) | Expected Found |
|---|
Cards Seen
How many cards can you expect to look at based on what you have. Estimates expected # seen based on probabilities of chaining another impulsive card draw off the previous one. Note that this effectively assumes infinite mana to keep casting the draw spells.
| Scenario | Cards Seen |
|---|
Impulse Hits
Chance of hitting e.g. a ritual off a Reckeless Impulse.
| Hits | Exactly | Or More |
|---|
Affinity
Probability helpers for Modern Affinity.
0-Cost Artifacts
Expected count of zero-mana artifacts (Ornithopter, Memnite, Welding Jar, Bauble...) in your next N cards seen.
| Cards Seen | P(≥1) | Expected Found |
|---|
Find Kappa / Emry / Krang
P(finding at least one of the key threats) given the cards you've seen.
| Cards Seen | P(≥1) | Expected Found |
|---|
Cards Seen
Sum of cards seen from draws and Affinity's card-selection sources.